By Joshua Kirby
The U.K.’s consumer price index for September will be published Wednesday morning, showing how much prices rose in the month compared with a year earlier. Here is what to know:
FORECAST: The CPI is set to rise by 6.6% compared with same month a year earlier, according to a poll of 10 economists carried out by The Wall Street Journal. This would represent a slight easing from the 6.7% rise recorded in August and mark a fourth straight month of lower inflation.
CORE FORECAST: Core inflation–a closely-watched metric that strips out food and energy prices, which tend to be more volatile–should similarly decline to 6.1% from 6.2% in August, according to economists.
WHAT TO WATCH:
–SERVICES: Services inflation has been the main factor keeping core inflation elevated in recent months, fuelled by rapid wage growth. If this sector’s price growth marks a clear downward trajectory in September, the Bank of England could be encouraged to keep holding interest rates where they are, rather than resuming its previous lengthy cycle of rate hikes.
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